Quote by CHARLIE MUNGER - Deepstash
CHARLIE MUNGER

“Mimicking the herd invites regression to the mean.”

CHARLIE MUNGER

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prince_rahul

The more one seeks to rise into height and light, the more vigorously do ones roots struggle earthward, downward, into the dark, the deep — into evil.

Charles Thomas Munger (Age-99) (born January 1, 1924) is an American businessman, investor, and philanthropist. He is vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, the conglomerate controlled by Warren Buffett; Buffett has described Munger as his closest partner.

Similar ideas

• It can appear at times that “everyone” has reached the conclusion that the herd is wrong. What I mean is that contrarianism itself can appear to have become too pop u lar, and thus contrarianism can be mistaken for herd behavior.

Regression to the Mean

Regression to the Mean

Regression to the mean describes how extreme outcomes tend to be followed by more average ones. This statistical phenomenon:

  • Creates a powerful illusion of causality where none exists
  • Explains apparent reversals of good or bad luck
  • Occurs in any measure...

Key Concepts in Statistics

We often feel anecdotes from people we know more persuasive than scientific evidence. This is because we don’t understand statistics well.

3 key concepts we must always remember:

  1. Law of Large Number (more data in a sample, more accurate conclusion)

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